本文關(guān)鍵詞：安倍經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)戰(zhàn)略的目標(biāo)、內(nèi)容和評(píng)價(jià)，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

Sep. 17, 2013 Working Paper No. 2013W18 高海紅 gaohh@陳思?csc_win@163.com 安倍經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)戰(zhàn)略的目標(biāo)、內(nèi)容和評(píng)價(jià) Will Abenomics succeed? An assessment of its growth strategy 摘要 : 安倍經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)貨幣和財(cái)政政策效力僅限于短期, 且受債務(wù)負(fù)擔(dān)可持續(xù)性等多種因 素的 制約 。 比較 而言 , 安倍 經(jīng)濟(jì) 學(xué)經(jīng) 濟(jì)增 長(zhǎng)戰(zhàn) 略是 將貨 幣和 財(cái)政 政策 形成 的良 好預(yù) 期 轉(zhuǎn)化為具體的經(jīng)濟(jì)行為, 推動(dòng)日本經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)鍵。 現(xiàn)有的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)戰(zhàn)略方案 方向 正確 , 但要 實(shí)現(xiàn) 預(yù)期 目標(biāo) , 其政 策力 度顯 然不 足。 日本 政府 能否 在提 高經(jīng) 濟(jì)全 要 素生產(chǎn)率和勞動(dòng)投入, 有效化解企業(yè)部門(mén)的過(guò)度儲(chǔ)蓄從而解決 需求不足等方面推出強(qiáng) 有力的新政,是安倍經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)能否實(shí)現(xiàn)其長(zhǎng)期增長(zhǎng)戰(zhàn)略目標(biāo)的關(guān)鍵。 關(guān)鍵詞:安倍經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) 貨幣和財(cái)政政策 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)戰(zhàn)略 長(zhǎng)期結(jié)構(gòu)性問(wèn)題 Abstract: The effects of fiscal and monetary stimulus of Abenomics will be short-lived due to Japan’s unsustainable public debt and limited space for further monetary easing. The success of Abenomics, therefore, to a large degree, is determined by its “third arrow” i.eeconomic growth strategy. The paper analyzes the structural factors attributed to Japan’s deflation over the past decades and looks at what resolutions the growth strategy is to deliver. The paper argues that the growth strategy aims at the right targets. However, its current lay-out is far from enough to fulfill the long-term growth objectives. The paper suggests to introduce more bold policies to reform Japan’s rigid labor market, increase its productivity and labor input, reduce the excessive savings in cooperate sectors, and carry out more structural reforms in order to bridge the GDP gap. It is also crucial for the Japanese government to implement the scheduled measures in a contin

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：安倍經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)戰(zhàn)略的目標(biāo)、內(nèi)容和評(píng)價(jià)，，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。