發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-01-07 08:28

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：中國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與收入不平等的非參數(shù)實(shí)證研究　出處：《西南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長 收入分配 局部多項(xiàng)式估計(jì) 樣條估計(jì)

【摘要】：經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與收入分配的相互關(guān)系一直眾多經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)者研究的熱門話題。目前,我國的經(jīng)濟(jì)在高速的增長,但是居民的收入分配差距卻呈現(xiàn)出急劇擴(kuò)大的趨勢,這就影響了社會(huì)的穩(wěn)定與我國經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展。本文將理論與實(shí)證相結(jié)合,研究我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與收入分配之間的關(guān)系,具有理論與現(xiàn)實(shí)的意義。 首先,本文對(duì)國外、國內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)者關(guān)于經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與收入分配關(guān)系的研究進(jìn)行了梳理。他們大多采用存在局限性的傳統(tǒng)的計(jì)量模型證明出庫茲涅茨倒U型曲線沒有拐點(diǎn)或者僅具有一個(gè)拐點(diǎn),然而對(duì)于正處于從農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)向工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)、并同時(shí)有重點(diǎn)有選擇地發(fā)展知識(shí)經(jīng)濟(jì)和信息經(jīng)濟(jì)的經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)大轉(zhuǎn)變的特殊過程中的我國而言,收入分配不平等曲線可能有兩個(gè)甚至多個(gè)拐點(diǎn)。 在實(shí)證研究部分,本文主要利用非參數(shù)計(jì)量分析中的局部多項(xiàng)式估計(jì)方法預(yù)測2008、2009年基尼系數(shù)、測度庫茲涅茨“倒U”型曲線的短期和長期變動(dòng)趨勢和三次樣條估計(jì)的方法來研究我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與收入分配不平等的短期變動(dòng)趨勢。為研究庫茲涅茨“倒U”型曲線提供新的分析思路和方法。實(shí)證結(jié)果表明我國收入分配不平等曲線至今存在兩個(gè)或多個(gè)拐點(diǎn),從局部來看庫茲涅茨倒U型曲線并不能解釋局部變動(dòng)趨勢。而從長期變動(dòng)趨勢來看,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與收入分配不平等呈現(xiàn)倒U型曲線,中國正處于倒U型曲線的左半部分。兩種方法都證明從2009年開始隨著我國經(jīng)濟(jì)快速的增長,收入分配不平等又開始加速上升。
[Abstract]:The relationship between economic growth and income distribution has been a hot topic studied by many economists. At present, China's economy is growing at a high speed, but the income distribution gap of residents is showing a trend of rapid expansion. This will affect the social stability and the economic development of our country. This paper combines theory with demonstration to study the relationship between economic growth and income distribution in China, which has theoretical and practical significance. First of all, this paper is about foreign countries. Domestic economists have studied the relationship between economic growth and income distribution. Most of them use traditional econometric models with limitations to prove that the Kuznets inverted U-shaped curve has no inflection point or only has a. Inflection point. However, China is in the special process of economic structure transformation from agricultural economy to industrial economy, and at the same time, it focuses on the selective development of knowledge economy and information economy. The income distribution inequality curve may have two or more inflection points. In the part of empirical research, this paper mainly uses the local polynomial estimation method in non-parametric econometric analysis to predict the Gini coefficient in 2008 and 2009. Measure the short-and long-term trends of Kuznets "inverted U" curve and the method of cubic spline estimation to study the short-term trends of economic growth and inequality of income distribution in china. In order to study Kuznets "inverted U" The empirical results show that there are two or more inflection points in the inequality curve of income distribution in China. From the local point of view, Kuznets inverted U-shaped curve can not explain the local trend, but from the long-term trend, economic growth and income distribution inequality shows an inverted U-shaped curve. China is in the left half of the inverted U-shaped curve. Both methods prove that income inequality has accelerated since 2009 with China's rapid economic growth.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F124.1;F124.7;F224

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本文編號(hào)：1391778