發(fā)布時間：2018-12-27 13:45

【摘要】：由于區(qū)域經(jīng)濟具有異質(zhì)性,區(qū)域要素稟賦具有先天性與外生性,不同區(qū)域的對外開放對經(jīng)濟的影響具有其獨特性。因此,系統(tǒng)研究遼寧沿海經(jīng)濟帶的對外開放及經(jīng)濟增長問題具有重要的現(xiàn)實意義。文章的主要創(chuàng)新工作如下： 第一,對外開放影響區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的原理、作用機制及政策支持。文章著重從資源與要素的優(yōu)化配置、資本技術(shù)外溢和市場競爭力改善等方面進行綜合分析,揭示區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的原理與作用機制。根據(jù)對外開放的作用機制與原理,將對外開放細分為資本開放度、貿(mào)易開放度、勞動開放度及綜合開放度,并對不同開放度的測度方法進行了研究。 第二,遼寧沿海的對外開放度的量化與測度。在開放度量化測度的基礎(chǔ)上,借助主成分分析法及灰色關(guān)聯(lián)度方法對遼寧沿海經(jīng)濟帶的對外開放現(xiàn)狀進行定量分析。 第三,遼寧沿海經(jīng)濟帶開放度對區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長的影響研究。采用兩種建模策略分別進行實證研究,一是基于柯布-道格拉斯生產(chǎn)函數(shù)的結(jié)構(gòu)建模策略,二是基于數(shù)據(jù)統(tǒng)計特征與相關(guān)關(guān)系的非結(jié)構(gòu)建模。基于以上策略,分別構(gòu)建面板數(shù)據(jù)模型(panel data model)及向量自回歸模型(VAR),前者克服了樣本數(shù)量少、參數(shù)估計誤差較大的缺陷,而后者則便于考察經(jīng)濟增長對于開放度變化的敏感性及動態(tài)變化的時變路徑,其中的脈沖響應(yīng)分析為兩者之間的互動關(guān)系提供了實證依據(jù)。 第四,研究沿海經(jīng)濟帶各地區(qū)經(jīng)濟增長與開放度之間互相預(yù)測機制。通過方差分解,研究了不同地區(qū)對外開放度與經(jīng)濟增長的波動在多大程度上可以由對方來解釋。大連與營口的經(jīng)濟波動可以由對外開放度波動解釋中,而對外開放度的也可以由經(jīng)濟波動來解釋。大連與營口的對外開放、經(jīng)濟之間具有相互預(yù)測機制。 第五,模擬和仿真微觀市場主體影響對外開放的行為與機制。在確立對外開放影響經(jīng)濟增長的基礎(chǔ)上,通過基于Agent的模擬與仿真技術(shù)進一步研究影響開放度的微觀主體行為。對政府Agent及企業(yè)Agent進行界定,通過一級假設(shè)(兩個)與二級假設(shè)條件(六個)刻畫兩個主體的行為特征,并構(gòu)建邏輯模型進行研究。 第六,提高對外開放水平及增強經(jīng)濟發(fā)展可持續(xù)性。發(fā)揮人力資本優(yōu)勢、發(fā)展產(chǎn)業(yè)集群、建設(shè)區(qū)域金融中心、改革財政稅收制度、加強基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)、整合產(chǎn)業(yè)園區(qū)資源、降低產(chǎn)業(yè)同構(gòu)性、實施有序開放可以有效提高遼寧沿海經(jīng)濟帶國際競爭力。
[Abstract]:Because of the heterogeneity of regional economy, regional factor endowment is innate and exogenetic, and the influence of opening to the outside world in different regions on economy is unique. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to study the opening-up and economic growth of Liaoning coastal economic belt. The main innovative work of this paper is as follows: first, the principle, mechanism and policy support of opening to the outside world affect the development of regional economy. This paper focuses on the comprehensive analysis of the optimal allocation of resources and elements, capital technology spillover and the improvement of market competitiveness, in order to reveal the principle and mechanism of regional economic development. According to the mechanism and principle of opening to the outside world, the opening to the outside world is divided into capital openness, trade openness, labor openness and comprehensive openness. Second, Liaoning coastal opening-up degree of quantification and measurement. On the basis of quantitative measurement of opening degree, the present situation of opening to the outside world of Liaoning coastal economic belt is analyzed quantitatively by means of principal component analysis method and grey correlation degree method. Third, the influence of the opening degree of Liaoning coastal economic belt on regional economic growth. Two modeling strategies are used for empirical research. One is the structural modeling strategy based on Cobb-Douglas production function and the other is the unstructured modeling based on the statistical characteristics and correlation. Based on the above strategies, the panel data model (panel data model) and the vector autoregressive model (VAR),) are constructed respectively. The former overcomes the defects of small sample size and large error in parameter estimation. The latter is convenient to examine the sensitivity of economic growth to the change of openness and the time-varying path of dynamic change. The impulse response analysis provides an empirical basis for the interaction between the two. Fourth, to study the economic growth and openness of the coastal economic belt between the mutual prediction mechanism. Based on variance decomposition, this paper studies the extent to which the fluctuation of the degree of opening to the outside world and economic growth in different regions can be explained by the other side. The economic fluctuation of Dalian and Yingkou can be explained by the fluctuation of the degree of opening to the outside world, and the degree of opening to the outside world can also be explained by the fluctuation of economy. Dalian and Yingkou open to the outside world, the economy has a mutual prediction mechanism. Fifth, simulate and simulate the behavior and mechanism of micro-market agents influencing the opening-up. On the basis of establishing that the opening to the outside world affects the economic growth, the microcosmic behavior of the main body which affects the openness is further studied through the simulation and simulation technology based on Agent. The government Agent and enterprise Agent are defined. The behavioral characteristics of the two subjects are characterized by the first-order hypothesis (two) and the second-order hypothesis (six), and the logical model is constructed. Sixth, raise the level of opening to the outside world and enhance the sustainability of economic development. To give full play to the advantages of human capital, to develop industrial clusters, to build regional financial centers, to reform the financial and tax system, to strengthen infrastructure construction, to integrate the resources of industrial parks, and to reduce the industrial isomorphism. The implementation of orderly opening can effectively improve the international competitiveness of Liaoning coastal economic belt.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：遼寧工程技術(shù)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F127;F224

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