發(fā)布時(shí)間：2019-01-23 19:52

【摘要】：長(zhǎng)期以來,自然資源一直被認(rèn)為是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的物質(zhì)基礎(chǔ),良好的自然資源稟賦被認(rèn)為是一個(gè)地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的先決條件,但是自20世紀(jì)中期以來,世界上許多資源富集的地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)緩慢甚至出現(xiàn)了經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)停滯的局面,特別是資源詛咒理論假說的提出,大量的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家開始關(guān)注自然資源對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響。 從國(guó)內(nèi)的情況來看,資源豐裕的西部地區(qū)長(zhǎng)期以來經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)速度遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)落后于中東部,國(guó)內(nèi)一些學(xué)者也開始就我國(guó)是否存在資源詛咒現(xiàn)象以及資源詛咒的傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制也進(jìn)行了一定的研究,本文在梳理前人研究的基礎(chǔ)上,首先利用中國(guó)省級(jí)面板數(shù)據(jù)來驗(yàn)證資源詛咒在我國(guó)的存在性,結(jié)果顯示在西部大開發(fā)以前,資源詛咒效應(yīng)在我國(guó)省級(jí)層面上明顯的存在,自然資源對(duì)于經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展起到了一定的抑制作用。然而在西部大開發(fā)以后,隨著國(guó)家對(duì)西部投資力度的加大,自然資源對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)起到了促進(jìn)作用,資源詛咒效應(yīng)表面上看來不存在了。但是長(zhǎng)期來看,這種經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)是以減少制造業(yè)的投入、人力資本的提升和技術(shù)進(jìn)步為代價(jià)的,同時(shí)引起了制度弱化效應(yīng),必然會(huì)造成長(zhǎng)期經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的乏力,形成更大的“資源詛咒”。 隨后本文通過對(duì)資源詛咒系數(shù)的構(gòu)建,利用西部地區(qū)1991-2010年西部10個(gè)省級(jí)單位的面板數(shù)據(jù)來分析資源詛咒在我國(guó)西部的傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制,結(jié)果證實(shí)資源詛咒主要通過擠出效應(yīng)和制度弱化效應(yīng)來影響西部地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,西部大開發(fā)的實(shí)施在一定程度上緩解了西部地區(qū)的資源詛咒效應(yīng),投資水平的提高、人力資本的提升、市場(chǎng)化程度的提高和對(duì)外開放程度的加大從一定程度上降低了資源詛咒的效果,但是這種效應(yīng)還是顯著的存在,特別是對(duì)科技投入的擠出效應(yīng)有了明顯的加劇趨勢(shì),同時(shí),這種以投資為主導(dǎo)的西部地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的可持續(xù)性有待于我們進(jìn)一步研究。 基于上述理論,本文提出了破解資源詛咒的對(duì)策建議,以便為西部地區(qū)實(shí)現(xiàn)資源開發(fā)和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的良性發(fā)展提供政策建議基礎(chǔ),實(shí)現(xiàn)西部地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)的可持續(xù)發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:For a long time, natural resources have been regarded as the material basis of economic growth, and good natural resource endowment has been regarded as a prerequisite for the economic development of a region, but since the middle of the 20th century, In many resource-rich regions of the world, economic growth is slow or even stagnant, especially the hypothesis of resource curse theory, a large number of economists begin to pay attention to the impact of natural resources on economic growth. Judging from the domestic situation, the economic growth rate of the resource-rich western region has lagged far behind that of the central and eastern regions for a long time. Some domestic scholars have also begun to study the existence of resource curse and the transmission mechanism of resource curse in China. Firstly, the provincial panel data of China are used to verify the existence of resource curse in China. The results show that before the development of the western region, the resource curse effect obviously exists at the provincial level. Natural resources play a certain role in restraining the development of economy. However, after the development of the western region, with the increase of national investment in the western region, natural resources play a role in promoting economic growth, and the resource curse effect does not appear to exist on the surface. But in the long run, this kind of economic growth is at the cost of reducing the investment in the manufacturing industry, the upgrading of human capital and technological progress. At the same time, it has caused a weakening effect of the system, which will inevitably lead to a lack of long-term economic growth. Create a greater resource curse. Then this paper analyzes the transmission mechanism of resource curse in western China by constructing the coefficient of resource curse and using the panel data of 10 provincial units in western China from 1991 to 2010. The results show that the resource curse mainly affects the economic development of the western region through the crowding out effect and institutional weakening effect, and the implementation of the western development alleviates to some extent the resource curse effect and the improvement of the investment level in the western region. The improvement of human capital, the increase of marketization and the increase of opening to the outside world have to some extent reduced the effect of resource curse, but this effect still exists significantly. Especially, the extrusion effect of science and technology investment has an obvious trend of aggravation, at the same time, the sustainability of economic growth in the western region, which is dominated by investment, needs to be further studied. Based on the above theory, this paper puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions to break the curse of resources, in order to provide a policy basis for the development of resources and economic growth in the western region, and to realize the sustainable development of the economy in the western region.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：北京郵電大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F127;F205

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